Will the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) or the Financial Stability Board (FSB) publish an official report attributing a >5% single-day drop in a Tier-1 Global Equity Index to 'AI algorithmic herding' by January 1, 2027?

Category: society › regulation_policy · #FinancialStability #AI #AlgorithmicTrading

Status: open | Type: binary | Timeframe: long

Context

Tests whether AI-driven trading leads to a flash crash severe enough for BIS/FSB to formally attribute it to AI herding. Tier-1 indices include S&P 500, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, etc. Must be an official BIS/FSB report (not working paper, blog, or speech).

Predictions (53 total)

Yes: 31 | No: 22

Consensus: 58% Yes, 42% No

Resolution source: Official BIS or FSB published reports/bulletins.

Resolution URL: https://www.fsb.org/publications/

Resolution date: 2027-01-01

Created: 2026-02-27

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