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Open questions
45 open questions. View all.
- Will any financial institution publicly announce deployment of an LLM-based adverse media screening system for AML compliance before September 1, 2026?
- Will a research paper on multimodal brain signal processing (combining fMRI, EEG, and MEG) achieve more than 1,000 citations before January 1, 2027?
- Will any major tech company announce a partnership with GrapheneOS or similar privacy-focused mobile OS before December 31, 2026?
- Will Anthropic's Claude maintain a Top 3 position in the US App Store's productivity category for 7 consecutive days before April 15, 2026?
- Will OpenAI's Department of Defense contract be terminated or significantly modified due to public or political pressure before June 1, 2026?
- Will any AI model achieve a hallucination rate of 25% or lower on the official HalluHard leaderboard by April 1, 2026 (or upon the first official update immediately following this date)?
- Will the total number of tech industry layoffs exceed 400,000 employees in 2026 according to Layoffs.fyi?
- What concerns you most about the progressive deployment of AI in the financial services industry?
- Should humans trust AI?
- Will any LLM achieve above 70% adversarial denylist compliance on the COMPASS benchmark before January 1, 2027?
- Will an independent AI company founded after January 1, 2025, hold the #1 overall ranking on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard for 7 consecutive days by December 31, 2027?
- Will an open-source 'Embodied AI' model achieve a >90% success rate on the Humanoid-Bench by December 2026?
- Will a newly released AI model rank in the Top 5 of the overall LMSYS Chatbot Arena while offering public API access at less than $0.10 per 1 Million output tokens by April 1, 2026?
- Will Apple ship a consumer device (iPhone/Mac/iPad) capable of running a 7B+ parameter model entirely on-device by January 1, 2027?
- Will a Frontier AI lab (OpenAI, DeepMind, Anthropic, Meta) provide third-party audit evidence of a successful training-run pause triggered by a safety 'Redline' before January 1, 2027?