Will the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) or the OBR officially report that cumulative AI-driven job displacement has exceeded 2,000,000 jobs by January 1, 2027?

Category: society › jobs_future_work · #JobDisplacement #UKEconomy #LaborMarket

Status: open | Type: binary | Timeframe: long

Context

Requires ONS or OBR to explicitly state cumulative AI-driven job displacement > 2M. 'Jobs at risk' or automation exposure estimates do NOT count — must state actual displaced jobs. ONS has published perception-based AI employment impact material; OBR discusses AI in productivity outlooks, but an explicit displacement count is a high bar.

Predictions (52 total)

Yes: 4 | No: 48

Consensus: 8% Yes, 92% No

Resolution source: ONS official publications/releases on AI and employment, or OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook reports.

Resolution URL: https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-november-2025/

Resolution date: 2027-01-01

Created: 2026-02-27

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